Holliesthedollie
2yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 8 · OR 65
Leicester · Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 8.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Windsor | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Newbury | 2 | 21th | 16th | +4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Windsor | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-29 | Bath | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 15/06/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |
| 18/07/2026 | 21st | 200/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |