Honeymoon Bear
2yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 5 · OR 59
Leicester · Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery · 6f
#12
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Leicester | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Lingfield | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Yarmouth | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -17.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |