13

Ma Fille De Reve

2yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 10 · OR 53

Leicester · Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well backed for nursery debut and much improved when ¾-length second of 16 at Thirsk (6f) 3 weeks ago, pulling clear of the rest, including a couple of today's rivals. 4 lb rise fair and can win one of these on that showing.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wetherby 04/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f110y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS4/0654 @ Catterick 22/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS22/0645 @ Catterick 08/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 5f GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS8/0756 @ Thirsk 14/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 49 · 6f Goo 119 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 49 par14/096OR 49projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Thirsk62nd2nd0
2026-07-08Catterick55th4th+1
2026-06-22Catterick46th4th+2
2026-06-04Wetherby56th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0622/068/0714/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/06/20266th33/10%0%0.00
22/06/20266th50/10%29%+0.29
08/07/20265th150/10%20%+0.20
14/09/20262nd9/276%93%+0.17