Moriarty Moon
2yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 13 · OR 63
Leicester · Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Catterick | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Ripon | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Nottingham | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chester | 2 | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Goodwood | 2 | 6th | 1st | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 38% | -0.48 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |