Passerine
2yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 11 · OR 65
Leicester · Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
37%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Bath | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Salisbury | 2 | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-04-17 | Bath | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +22.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |