12

Secret Rival

2yo Filly · 9-1 · Draw 1 · OR 57

Leicester · Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Is still learning but ran her best race to place for the first time when third in 6f Southwell nursery 3 weeks ago, having to switch towards far side final 1f but keeping on. Has got more to offer if able to brush up on her starts.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength69%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chepstow 06/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f16y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS6/0644 @ Newbury 23/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS23/0644 @ Chepstow 16/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f16y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS16/0745 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 62 · 5f6y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 62 par13/085OR 626 @ Newcastle 02/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 59 · 6f1y Std 134 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 59 par2/096OR 596 @ Southwell 17/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 57 · 6f16y Std 127 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 57 par17/096OR 57projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Southwell63rd3rd0
2026-09-02Newcastle65th5th0
2026-08-13Lingfield57th6th+1
2026-07-16Chepstow47th5th+2
2026-06-23Newbury46th4th+2
2026-06-06Chepstow48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0623/0616/0713/082/0917/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 54/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength78%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/20268th16/116%13%-0.03
23/06/20266th18/15%44%+0.39
16/07/20267th17/255%25%-0.30
13/08/20267th18/15%25%+0.20
02/09/20265th4/179%60%-0.19
17/09/20263rd12/137%82%+0.45