5

Lunar Storm

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 7

Leicester · British EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 53y

#6

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked in need of experience when seventh of 10 in novice at Haydock (7f, soft) on debut 11 days ago. Likely to need more time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Haydock 25/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f212y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS25/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Haydock37th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/09/20267th8/158%33%-0.25