7

Ozone Friendly

2yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 3 · OR 71

Leicester · British EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 53y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Posted promising second of 6 in novice at Lingfield (1m, AW) in August and ran to a similar level when fair fourth of 10 in maiden at Newmarket (7f, firm, 14/1) 10 days ago. Ought to go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength53%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m1y Std 1288/0842 @ Newmarket 26/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS26/092projClass-projected finish: 1st of 1
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Newmarket24th2nd+2
2026-08-08Lingfield42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0826/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +34.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
26/09/20264th14/126%67%+0.40