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6

Seven Questions

5yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 9 · OR 83

Leicester · Everards Of Leicestershire Handicap · 5f

#4

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

2024 Palace House winner has struggled since scoring at Goodwood (5f) in May, but down in class now having dropped to a career-low mark and was successful on his only other run at Leicester. A revival could be imminent under Billy Loughnane.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼2
Strength69%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Ayr 20/09/2025 · Pos 24th of 25 · OR 96 · 6f Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 96 par20/092OR 962 @ Pontefract 07/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 92 · 5f3y GS 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 92 par2 @ Ripon 25/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 91 · 5f Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 91 par25/042OR 912 @ Chester 07/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 89 · 5f15y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 89 par3 @ Goodwood 22/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 87 · 5f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 87 par22/053OR 873 @ Goodwood 07/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 90 · 6f Sft 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 90 par2 @ Newcastle 26/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 89 · 5f Sta 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 89 par26/062OR 892 @ Goodwood 28/07/2026 · Pos 21st of 23 · OR 88 · 5f Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 88 par3 @ Yarmouth 30/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 86 · 5f42y GS 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 86 par30/083OR 86projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Yarmouth34th3rd+1
2026-07-28Goodwood221th19th+2
2026-06-26Newcastle212th10th+2
2026-06-07Goodwood37th6th+1
2026-05-22Goodwood31st0th+1
2026-05-07Chester24th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/097/0526/0630/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength3%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/09/202524th40/10%4%+0.04
07/04/20263rd9/153%83%+0.31
25/04/20266th15/890%29%-0.62
07/05/20264th13/266%67%+0.01
22/05/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
07/06/20267th13/266%0%-0.66
26/06/202612th18/15%15%+0.10
28/07/202621st18/15%9%+0.04
30/08/20264th6/168%0%-0.68