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Ziggy's Triton

4yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 7 · OR 87

Leicester · Everards Of Leicestershire Handicap · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

27%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful twice this year, taking advantage of a drop into this grade at York in July. Back to his best when ½-length second to a lightly-raced one ahead of his mark in a similar event at Southwell a fortnight ago, and not beaten far at Redcar on Saturday. Can go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength54%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 91 · 5f Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 91 par23/052OR 912 @ Epsom Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 20 · OR 89 · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 89 par3 @ Redcar 20/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 87 · 5f Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 87 par20/063OR 874 @ York 10/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 86 · 5f Goo 141 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 86 par2 @ Goodwood 28/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 23 · OR 89 · 5f Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 89 par28/072OR 893 @ Newbury 15/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 88 · 5f34y GF 138 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 88 par2 @ York 19/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 21 · OR 88 · 5f89y Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 88 par19/082OR 884 @ Southwell 26/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 86 · 4f215y Std 139 · beat its mark26/09/2026 · OR 86 par4 @ Redcar 03/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 87 · 5f Gd 137 · beat its mark03/10/2026 · OR 87 par3/104OR 87projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03Redcar45th5th0
2026-09-26Southwell42nd2nd0
2026-08-19York29th7th+2
2026-08-15Newbury310th9th+1
2026-07-28Goodwood210th8th+2
2026-07-10York41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0510/0719/083/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 55/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength80%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20267th28/10%60%+0.60
06/06/202611th22/10%47%+0.47
20/06/20267th6/168%25%-0.43
10/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
28/07/202610th33/10%59%+0.59
15/08/202610th15/261%18%-0.42
19/08/20269th33/10%60%+0.60
26/09/20262nd7/282%89%+0.07
03/10/20265th4/179%67%-0.12