1

King's Code

6yo Gelding · 10-2 · Draw 1 · OR 90

Leicester · Paul & Margo Barley Mow Cosgrove Farewell Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 179y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won a 1¼m handicap at Chester in July before finishing mid-field in a stronger race at Glorious Goodwood. Seemingly gone off the boil since but is now below his last winning mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength46%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newcastle 03/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 102 · 1m2f42y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 102 par3/042OR 1022 @ York 13/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 99 · 1m3f188y Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 99 par2 @ Epsom Downs 05/06/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR 97 · 1m2f17y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 97 par5/062OR 973 @ Windsor 27/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 94 · 1m3f99y GF 135 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 94 par3 @ Chester 10/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 92 · 1m2f70y Goo 142 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 92 par10/073OR 922 @ Goodwood 28/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR 95 · 1m1f197y Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 95 par3 @ Windsor 13/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 95 · 1m2f GF 142 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 95 par13/083OR 953 @ Kempton 05/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 94 · 1m3f219y Sta 134 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 94 par2 @ Newbury 19/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 92 · 1m2f GF 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 92 par19/092OR 92projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Newbury27th6th+1
2026-09-05Kempton38th8th0
2026-08-13Windsor38th8th0
2026-07-28Goodwood28th7th+1
2026-07-10Chester31st1st0
2026-06-27Windsor35th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0427/0613/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength71%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/04/202614th33/10%0%0.00
13/05/202610th66/10%0%0.00
05/06/202616th66/10%0%0.00
27/06/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
10/07/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
28/07/20268th50/10%56%+0.56
13/08/20268th15/261%0%-0.61
05/09/20268th33/10%30%+0.30
19/09/20267th40/10%40%+0.40