4
Magic Music
4yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 3 · OR 66
Leicester · Mario & Traci Plough Duxford Last Orders Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Leicester | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Haydock | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Haydock | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Doncaster | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Doncaster | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Doncaster | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength93%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 22/09/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 13/04/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 04/09/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 21/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |