1
Mr Cool
4yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 2 · OR 70
Leicester · Mario & Traci Plough Duxford Last Orders Handicap · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Southwell | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Brighton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Ayr | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Pontefract | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 33% | -0.57 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 26/09/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |