1

Shanour
3yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 4
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Oumnaz Stakes · 1m 2f 205y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 67/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 14/11/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 24/03/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 46% | -0.33 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |