2
Vassy
3yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 5
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Oumnaz Stakes · 1m 2f 205y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/6
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength59%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-08-05 | La Teste De Buch | 2 | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-05-29 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-08-15 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-25 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 53/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength77%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 15/08/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 33% | -0.59 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |