2
Capbeard Fal
2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 7
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Haras Du Ma Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y
#11
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Deauville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +23.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 14/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |