1
Magnus
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 2
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De L'essor Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 35/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength79%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 25/02/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 10/08/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 22% | -0.20 |