2
Samor
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 3
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De L'essor Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 60/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 87% | +0.10 |
| 29/12/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 79% | -0.12 |
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 82% | -0.10 |
| 24/03/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.25 |
| 09/06/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |