2
Haditouni
3yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 8
Lyon-Parilly · La Fleche Handicap · 6f 156y
#2
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 57/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 42% | -0.21 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 08/08/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 36% | -0.40 |
| 21/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |