9
New Way Baby
4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 5
Lyon-Parilly · La Fleche Handicap · 6f 156y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 8-10 · tight 81/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 22/09/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 02/10/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 23/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 13/11/2025 | 15th | 14/1 | 26% | 7% | -0.20 |
| 23/05/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/06/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 29/06/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/08/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |