1
Terredeguerre
6yo Mare · 9-12 · Draw 1
Lyon-Parilly · La Fleche Handicap · 6f 156y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Vichy | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 57/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 56% | -0.33 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 87% | +0.29 |
| 25/07/2026 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 21/09/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 8% | -0.19 |