4
Darlyvi
8yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 3
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De Pont-de-vivaux Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 5-7 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 15/12/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 13/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 27/05/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |