1
Golden Blush
4yo Filly · 9-13 · Draw 1
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De Pont-de-vivaux Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 06/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 21/05/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 53% | +0.27 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 15/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |