6

Pote
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 2
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De Pont-de-vivaux Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-05-20 | Nancy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Strasbourg | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength7%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2024 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 07/10/2024 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 15/11/2024 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 16/03/2025 | 16th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 19/04/2025 | 14th | 9/1 | 53% | 7% | -0.45 |
| 20/05/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 03/07/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |