6

Pote

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 2

Lyon-Parilly · Prix De Pont-de-vivaux Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#7

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Croise-Laroche 19/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f94y Gd 13119/09C5C5 @ Le Croise-Laroche 07/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 131C0 @ Saint-Cloud 15/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 12515/11C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 16/03/2025 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 119C0 @ Strasbourg 19/04/2025 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f149y Sft 13419/04C?C8 @ Nancy 20/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 125C5 @ ParisLongchamp 03/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 1233/07C54 @ Compiegne 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1274 @ Le Touquet 16/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 12316/084projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Le Touquet45th5th0
2026-07-28Compiegne44th4th0
2025-07-03ParisLongchamp?8th8th0
2025-05-20Nancy?3rd3rd0
2025-04-19Strasbourg?14th14th0
2025-03-16Saint-Cloud?16th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0916/033/0716/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength7%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/20243rd7/491%80%-0.11
07/10/20242nd3/184%83%-0.01
15/11/20244th7/163%75%+0.12
16/03/202516th18/15%0%-0.05
19/04/202514th9/153%7%-0.45
20/05/20253rd7/163%78%+0.15
03/07/20258th13/266%13%-0.53
28/07/20264th25/10%73%+0.73
16/08/20265th9/153%43%-0.10