7
Raw Energy
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 6
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De Pont-de-vivaux Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#6
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Compiegne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-03 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Clairefontaine | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength16%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 09/06/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 18/06/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 18/07/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 15/08/2025 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 24/08/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 03/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 16/09/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 15/09/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |