2
Haza
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 9
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Parc Borely Handicap · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Strasbourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Strasbourg | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/02/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.35 |
| 24/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 08/03/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 69% | +0.09 |
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.52 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 90% | +0.24 |
| 20/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |