4

He Touched Me

4yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 7

Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Parc Borely Handicap · 7f 209y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

21%

Place Prob

32%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Marseille 06/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f100y Std 1256/12C?2 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 19/01/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 7f100y Ver 118C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 22/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f101y Ver 12922/02C?3 @ Chantilly 26/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1313 @ ParisLongchamp 24/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12924/0533 @ Chantilly 19/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1222 @ Compiegne 16/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y GS 11916/0723 @ Deauville 16/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1313 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1238/093projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Lyon-Parilly31st1st0
2026-08-16Deauville34th4th0
2026-07-16Compiegne210th10th0
2026-06-19Chantilly35th5th0
2026-05-24ParisLongchamp37th7th0
2026-03-26Chantilly312th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1226/0316/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/12/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
19/01/202615th28/10%0%0.00
22/02/20262nd28/10%91%+0.91
26/03/202612th10/147%21%-0.26
24/05/20267th18/15%45%+0.40
19/06/20265th4/179%60%-0.19
16/07/202610th25/10%40%+0.40
16/08/20264th7/163%73%+0.10
08/09/20261st15/261%100%+0.39