2
Loony
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 72
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Thistledown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 29/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 30/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 10/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |