6
My Two Aunt Joans
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 75
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength71%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 56% | -0.34 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 21/09/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |