4
Parade Of Fears
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 78
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 57/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength22%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 09/03/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 01/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 04/05/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 21/09/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |