1

You Are Awesome

8yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 73

Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m

#10

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Mountaineer 10/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 62 · 6f 126 · below its mark10/11/2025 · OR 62 par10/11C8OR 62C8 @ Mountaineer 18/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 73 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 73 parC8 @ Mountaineer 02/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 70 · 6f 123 · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 70 par2/06C8OR 70C8 @ Mountaineer 22/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 71 · 5f110y Slo 124 · below its mark22/06/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Mountaineer 13/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 68 · 6f 124 · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 68 par13/07C8OR 68C8 @ Mountaineer 29/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 70 · 6f Slo 124 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 70 parC8 @ Mountaineer 10/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 69 · 6f 124 · below its mark10/08/2026 · OR 69 par10/08C8OR 69C8 @ Mountaineer 09/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Mountaineer 21/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark21/09/2026 · OR 71 par21/09C8OR 71projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Mountaineer?3rd3rd0
2026-09-09Mountaineer?7th7th0
2026-08-10Mountaineer?4th4th0
2026-07-29Mountaineer?4th4th0
2026-07-13Mountaineer?3rd3rd0
2026-06-22Mountaineer?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1122/0610/0821/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 57/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend -5.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/11/20253rd33/10%71%+0.71
18/05/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
02/06/20265th20/10%56%+0.56
22/06/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
13/07/20263rd33/10%71%+0.71
29/07/20264th2/189%57%-0.32
10/08/20264th5/174%50%-0.24
09/09/20267th14/126%25%-0.01
21/09/20263rd16/116%75%+0.59