14
Archimedes
3yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 14 · OR 80
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#12
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength15%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Keeneland | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 42/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength55%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 03/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 01/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 19/04/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |