3

Battuta D'oro

6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 88

Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

48%

Place Prob

39%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Delaware Park 17/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 74 · 1m70y Gd 122 · beat its mark17/08/2024 · OR 74 par17/08C8OR 74C7 @ Delaware Park 16/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 78 · 1m1f Fm 122 · below its mark16/10/2024 · OR 78 parC6 @ Mountaineer 09/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 83 · 7f Slo 120 · below its mark09/06/2025 · OR 83 par9/06C6OR 83C5 @ Mountaineer 15/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 85 · 7f Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2025 · OR 85 parC5 @ Mountaineer 24/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 87 · 7f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/06/2025 · OR 87 par24/06C5OR 87C5 @ Mountaineer 03/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 94 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/08/2025 · OR 94 parC7 @ Mountaineer 01/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 91 · 1m 124 · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 91 par1/07C7OR 91C8 @ Mountaineer 18/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 87 · 7f 124 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 87 parC8 @ Mountaineer 13/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 86 · 7f 124 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 86 par13/09C8OR 86projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Mountaineer?1st3rd−2
2026-08-18Mountaineer?1st3rd−2
2026-07-01Mountaineer?7th8th−1
2025-08-03Mountaineer?3rd2nd+1
2025-06-24Mountaineer?1st0th+1
2025-06-15Mountaineer?1st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0815/061/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 3-14 · tight 42/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength41%

Delivery trend -5.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/08/20241st20/10%100%+1.00
16/10/20244th10/147%63%+0.15
09/06/20255th11/271%43%-0.28
15/06/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
24/06/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
03/08/20253rd10/147%60%+0.13
01/07/20267th8/158%25%-0.33
18/08/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
13/09/20261st3/184%100%+0.16