9
Bosley
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 9 · OR 79
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 12-14 · tight 84/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 03/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 22/09/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |