6
Jujubee
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 85
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#14
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-03-18 | Turfway Park | ? | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-02-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-02-05 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-01-03 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 7-14 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -13.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 25/08/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 01/11/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 03/01/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 18/03/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 11/06/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 11% | -0.63 |