IvyArcIvyArc
1

Legal Titan

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 85

Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Mountaineer 23/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 67 · 7f Fm 120 · below its mark23/07/2025 · OR 67 par23/07C8OR 67C5 @ Mountaineer 12/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 72 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2025 · OR 72 parC8 @ Mountaineer 28/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 83 · 7f110y Fm 123 · below its mark28/08/2025 · OR 83 par28/08C8OR 83C5 @ Mountaineer 08/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 79 · 1m Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/09/2025 · OR 79 parC8 @ Mountaineer 17/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 81 · 7f110y Fm 120 · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 81 par17/06C8OR 81C8 @ Mountaineer 13/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 76 · 7f Fm 124 · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Mountaineer 28/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 78 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 78 par28/07C8OR 78C8 @ Mountaineer 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 77 · 5f Fm 124 · below its mark01/09/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Mountaineer 27/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 83 · 7f Fm 124 · beat its mark27/09/2026 · OR 83 par27/09C8OR 83projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27Mountaineer?1st3rd−2
2026-09-01Mountaineer?2nd4th−2
2026-07-28Mountaineer?2nd4th−2
2026-07-13Mountaineer?3rd5th−2
2026-06-17Mountaineer?7th9th−2
2025-09-08Mountaineer?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/078/0928/0727/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength82%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20252nd2/189%88%-0.02
12/08/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
28/08/20256th8/158%38%-0.20
08/09/20253rd20/10%75%+0.75
17/06/20267th12/137%25%-0.12
13/07/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17
28/07/20262nd5/174%67%-0.07
01/09/20262nd8/158%86%+0.28
27/09/20261st10/382%100%+0.18