2

Bring Me A Check
9yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 99
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength54%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.1 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-12-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 79/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 08/06/2025 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 06/08/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 23/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 31/08/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 17/12/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 24/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 89% | -0.08 |