8

Cool Couple

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 88

Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength67%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Mahoning Valley 25/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 79 · 1m 124 · below its mark25/02/2026 · OR 79 par25/02C8OR 79C5 @ Mahoning Valley 13/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 75 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 75 parC7 @ Mountaineer 29/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 82 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 82 par29/04C7OR 82C5 @ Mountaineer 13/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 87 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 87 parC5 @ Mountaineer 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 90 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 90 par10/06C5OR 90C5 @ Thistledown 03/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 91 · 5f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 91 parC7 @ Mountaineer 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 86 · 7f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/08/2026 · OR 86 par12/08C7OR 86C7 @ Mountaineer 14/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 81 · 7f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 81 parC6 @ Mountaineer 22/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 84 · 7f Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/09/2026 · OR 84 par22/09C6OR 84projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Mountaineer?3rd1st+2
2026-09-14Mountaineer?4th3rd+1
2026-08-12Mountaineer?2nd1st+1
2026-08-03Thistledown?6th3rd+3
2026-06-10Mountaineer?4th1st+3
2026-05-13Mountaineer?2nd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0213/0512/0822/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 2-13 · tight 35/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength40%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/02/20268th6/168%0%-0.68
13/03/20262nd16/116%80%+0.64
29/04/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
13/05/20262nd6/492%75%-0.17
10/06/20264th11/486%57%-0.28
03/08/20266th10/147%0%-0.47
12/08/20262nd11/271%80%+0.09
14/09/20264th15/261%50%-0.11
22/09/20263rd11/271%67%-0.04