4
Growth Capital
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 79
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 3-13 · tight 43/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength36%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 05/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 12/05/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |
| 17/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 27/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |