6

Khozando

8yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 86

Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

24%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Mountaineer 27/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 94 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/10/2025 · OR 94 par27/10C7OR 94C7 @ Mountaineer 05/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 95 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 95 parC7 @ Mountaineer 25/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 92 · 1m 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/11/2025 · OR 92 par25/11C7OR 92C7 @ Mountaineer 13/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 94 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 94 parC7 @ Mountaineer 26/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 94 · 7f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 94 par26/05C7OR 94C7 @ Mountaineer 24/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 92 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 92 parC7 @ Mountaineer 15/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 91 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 91 par15/07C7OR 91C7 @ Mountaineer 12/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 91 · 7f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/08/2026 · OR 91 parC7 @ Mountaineer 01/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/09/2026 · OR 88 par1/09C7OR 88projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Mountaineer?5th4th+1
2026-08-12Mountaineer?5th4th+1
2026-07-15Mountaineer?2nd1st+1
2026-06-24Mountaineer?2nd1st+1
2026-05-26Mountaineer?2nd1st+1
2026-05-13Mountaineer?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1013/0515/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 9-13 · tight 75/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/10/20252nd2/189%83%-0.06
05/11/20251st2/799%100%+0.02
25/11/20256th13/891%17%-0.75
13/05/20262nd7/282%83%+0.02
26/05/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
24/06/20262nd10/382%80%-0.02
15/07/20262nd11/271%83%+0.12
12/08/20265th5/174%20%-0.54
01/09/20265th16/116%20%+0.04