
Khozando
8yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 86
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
24%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 05/11/2025 | 1st | 2/7 | 99% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 25/11/2025 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 17% | -0.75 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |