7

Some R Blessed

7yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 7 · OR 83

Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turfway Park 01/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 90 · 1m 121 · below its mark01/03/2026 · OR 90 par1/03C8OR 90C8 @ Turfway Park 28/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 89 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 89 parC8 @ Mountaineer 27/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 86 · 6f 120 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 86 par27/04C8OR 86C6 @ Mountaineer 05/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 89 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/05/2026 · OR 89 parC8 @ Mountaineer 07/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 89 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 89 par7/06C8OR 89C7 @ Mountaineer 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 91 · 1m Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 91 parC7 @ Mountaineer 05/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 87 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 87 par5/07C7OR 87C7 @ Mountaineer 09/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 88 · 1m6f Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 88 parC7 @ Mountaineer 20/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 85 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/09/2026 · OR 85 par20/09C7OR 85projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-20Mountaineer?4th3rd+1
2026-08-09Mountaineer?3rd2nd+1
2026-07-05Mountaineer?2nd1st+1
2026-06-15Mountaineer?2nd1st+1
2026-06-07Mountaineer?3rd3rd0
2026-05-05Mountaineer?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/035/055/0720/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 13-13 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/03/20265th7/282%50%-0.32
28/03/20267th10/382%33%-0.49
27/04/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
05/05/20262nd11/486%75%-0.11
07/06/20263rd13/266%75%+0.09
15/06/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
05/07/20262nd4/696%75%-0.21
09/08/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26
20/09/20264th6/594%25%-0.69