10
Trikitraki
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 10 · OR 84
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 7-13 · tight 66/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength9%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 18/12/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/03/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 01/04/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 17/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |