6
Imposter Syndrome
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 77
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength54%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 02/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 20/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 22/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 04/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |