Ramses The Great
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 3 · OR 77
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
51%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 14/12/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 8/13 | 97% | 40% | -0.57 |
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 28/08/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |