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5

Cosmic Connection

6yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 5 · OR 67

Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 06/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 48 · 6f Fas 125 · beat its mark06/08/2025 · OR 48 par6/08C6OR 48C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 26/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 52 · 6f 125 · beat its mark26/08/2025 · OR 52 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 55 · 6f 125 · beat its mark08/10/2025 · OR 55 par8/10C6OR 55C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 59 · 5f110y 125 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 59 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 03/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 60 · 6f 125 · below its mark03/06/2026 · OR 60 par3/06C6OR 60C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 24/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 50 · 6f Fas 125 · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 50 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 52 · 6f 125 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 52 par22/07C6OR 52C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 26/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 54 · 6f 125 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 54 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 14/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 60 · 6f110y 125 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 60 par14/09C6OR 60projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-08-26Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0
2026-07-22Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-06-24Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-06-03Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0
2026-05-18Presque Isle Downs?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0818/0522/0714/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 37/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength50%

Delivery trend -8.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20255th25/10%50%+0.50
26/08/20253rd20/10%60%+0.60
08/10/20252nd16/116%75%+0.59
18/05/20266th8/158%29%-0.29
03/06/20265th8/158%0%-0.58
24/06/20264th33/10%57%+0.57
22/07/20262nd25/10%86%+0.86
26/08/20265th15/261%20%-0.41
14/09/20263rd11/271%33%-0.38