4

Gleaming

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 57

Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength8%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y 12018/05C6C9 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 39 · 1m 120 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 39 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 24/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 39 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 39 par24/06C6OR 39C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 51 · 1m 120 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 51 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 52 · 6f 120 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 52 par22/07C6OR 52C9 @ Presque Isle Downs 04/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 53 · 1m70y 120 · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 53 parC9 @ Presque Isle Downs 26/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 53 · 1m 120 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 53 par26/08C9OR 53C9 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 52 · 1m70y 121 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 52 parC9 @ Presque Isle Downs 28/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 55 · 1m70y 121 · below its mark28/09/2026 · OR 55 par28/09C9OR 55
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-28Presque Isle Downs?6th9th−3
2026-09-09Presque Isle Downs?5th8th−3
2026-08-26Presque Isle Downs?7th10th−3
2026-08-04Presque Isle Downs?6th9th−3
2026-07-22Presque Isle Downs?8th8th0
2026-07-08Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/058/0726/0828/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength90%

Delivery trend +3.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/20267th15/261%14%-0.46
01/06/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
24/06/20266th40/10%29%+0.29
08/07/20263rd25/10%60%+0.60
22/07/20268th25/10%0%0.00
04/08/20266th25/10%29%+0.29
26/08/20267th20/10%0%0.00
09/09/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
28/09/20266th20/10%17%+0.17