Dhabab
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 103
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
87%
Place Prob
60%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 31/08/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 27/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |