Lee The Cabby

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 78

Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ RUNS TO MARK

Move▼1

Strength47%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.8

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-22	Presque Isle Downs	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-08-24	Presque Isle Downs	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-08-05	Presque Isle Downs	?	1st	-1th	+2	5.0
2026-07-20	Presque Isle Downs	?	5th	3rd	+2	6.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 33/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength85%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
20/07/2026	5th	14/1	26%	0%	-0.26
05/08/2026	1st	20/1	0%	100%	+1.00
24/08/2026	5th	25/1	0%	0%	0.00
22/09/2026	4th	14/1	26%	40%	+0.14