Limo
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 86
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-08-08 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-03-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-02-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 28/12/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |