2

City Tripper

6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 90

Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength42%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 23/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 91 · 6f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/10/2025 · OR 91 par23/10C5OR 91C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 92 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 92 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 92 · 6f 123 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 92 par1/06C7OR 92C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 92 · 6f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/06/2026 · OR 92 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 29/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 91 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/06/2026 · OR 91 par29/06C5OR 91C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 15/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 92 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 92 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 05/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 97 · 6f110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 97 par5/08C5OR 97C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 07/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 98 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 98 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 21/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 97 · 6f 123 · below its mark21/09/2026 · OR 97 par21/09C7OR 97projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0
2026-09-07Presque Isle Downs?5th4th+1
2026-08-05Presque Isle Downs?1st-1th+2
2026-07-15Presque Isle Downs?6th4th+2
2026-06-29Presque Isle Downs?5th3rd+2
2026-06-08Presque Isle Downs?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/108/065/0821/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength65%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/10/20256th10/147%29%-0.19
18/05/20263rd25/10%67%+0.67
01/06/20263rd9/153%67%+0.14
08/06/20265th13/266%43%-0.23
29/06/20265th16/116%33%+0.18
15/07/20266th6/168%0%-0.68
05/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
07/09/20265th10/147%20%-0.27
21/09/20265th25/10%20%+0.20